Indians, Mariners continue set between last-place clubs

Baseball Betting Lines

09/03/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Shin-Soo Choo and the Cleveland Indians look to remain in the win column when they resume a four-game series against the homestanding Seattle Mariners tonight from Safeco Field.

Choo stroked a three-run double during a four-run sixth inning and later cracked a two-run homer in the ninth for the Indians, who ended a four-game losing streak and opened a seven-game trek in positive fashion with yesterday's 6-3 victory. Choo tied a season high with five runs batted in and is hitting .372 with nine RBI over his last 11 games.

"He's a legit complete player," Cleveland manager Manny Acta said on the team's website. "That five-tool word gets thrown around a lot, but he's legit five-tool."

Travis Hafner drove in a run and Asdrubal Cabrera finished 3-for-5 with a pair of runs scored for the Indians, who had a 12-7 edge in hits. Josh Tomlin evened his 2010 mark at 3-3 with six innings of three-run ball, Tony Sipp tossed two scoreless innings of relief and Chris Perez struck out one in the ninth for his 17th save.

The Indians will also visit the Angels on this trip and are scheduled to send struggling starter Fausto Carmona to the mound Friday. Carmona has dropped five straight starts and most recently toed the rubber in last Sunday's 6-2 loss versus Kansas City, as he allowed three runs and six hits in 6 2/3 innings.

Carmona is 11-13 with a 4.19 ERA and 6-4 in 11 road starts this season. He lost to Seattle on August 13 and is 2-2 with a 3.58 ERA in five career games (4 starts) against the Mariners.

Seattle has lost nine of its last 12 games and got another rough outing from Doug Fister. The right-hander lasted 5 1/3 innings on the hill and was touched for four runs and seven hits with three strikeouts.

"It was like watching two different ballgames," Mariners manager Daren Brown said. "First five innings I thought Fister was really good. It looked like we were going to swing the bats well and then it kind of fell apart in the sixth inning. The last part of the ballgame was like a totally different game, quite the opposite and turned the other way around."

Russell Branyan hit a two-run homer to highlight a three-run third inning for the Mariners, who are 2-5 on a 10-game homestand.

Luke French hopes to lighten Brown's spirits when he takes the mound Friday night in the Emerald City. French has alternated wins and losses over his previous six starts, and is coming off a victory versus Minnesota last Sunday.

French delivered seven innings of one-run ball to push his mark to 3-4 in 10 games (7 starts) this season.

The left-hander defeated Cleveland on August 21, 2009 in his only appearance against the club, and held the Tribe to three runs in six innings of a 9-4 triumph in the Forest City.

Seattle won two of three meetings with Cleveland last month at Progressive Field. The Indians, however, are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in the series and 19-8 against the Tribe at Safeco Field since 2004.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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Marlins could start season without No. 2 starter Johnson

JUPITER, Fla. -- The Foorida Marlins are preparing for the likelihood that right-hander
Josh Johnson won't be ready when the season starts April 2.

Grapefruit League action starts Wednesday, but Johnson, penciled in as the No. 2 starter, hasn't even thrown off a mound at full speed since September. He's experienced some soreness in his right forearm.

MySportsbook.com have the Marlins listed with baseball betting lines at +800 to win the NL East this season .

''You guys know the math. If he's not on the hill then he becomes an opening day roster issue,'' manager Fredi Gonzalez said Saturday. ''We're borderline now.''

Johnson, who finished 12-7 with a 3.10 ERA in 2007, was supposed to throw on flat ground Saturday. That was canceled when he woke up with pain.

He played catch on Wednesday with no pain but felt discomfort in a throwing session on Thursday. He's expected to try again Sunday.

''Like we always said from the very beginning, we're going to take it easy on him,'' Gonzalez said. ''He didn't feel right, so we shut him down. We're going to take it back to step one and see where we're at.''

Among the candidates to take Johnson's spot in the rotation are left-hander Chris George and right-handers Yusmeiro Petit and Jose Garcia.

Right-hander Sergio Mitre, who missed most of last season with arm and shoulder problems, also is behind.

With Johnson's status doubtful, Gonzalez said right-hander Ricky Nolasco will stay in the rotation and no longer will be considered a candidate for closer.

Additional basbeall odds can be found at: www.MySportsbook.com

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